Despite recent strength in the
stock market, last year’s crash has pushed many investors to seek returns in
other sectors.
The massive flight of capital
to the safest of vehicles, treasury bills and money market funds, has
rendered paltry rates of returns; T-bills and cash equivalent accounts
currently return next to nothing. Of the three major asset categories —
stocks, bonds and cash — bonds may at this moment present the most palatable
combination of risk and return to a conservative investor. Even risk seekers
who perceive superior long-term prospects for equities can find value in
lower volatility and assured income for a portion of their portfolios.
Although there are many types
of fixed-income instruments available to individuals, the fundamental method
of investing in bonds is rarely evaluated. Except for bank CDs and U.S.
government savings bonds, most people buy bonds via mutual funds. There are
situations in which this is the best choice. However, there are many for
whom investing directly in bonds would provide benefits. One can earn more,
control risk, and avoid unforeseen tax consequences with just a few moments
of consideration, and action.
Bond fund benefits
Bond funds have features
entailed in any mutual fund, some of which are quite helpful. First,
investors attain instant diversification, a feature not particularly
important with government securities but absolutely vital with corporates.
Second, one can
generally invest and withdraw money in any amount at any time — with the
caveats that end-of-day pricing is used and processing takes place
overnight, at best. For investors committing less than $25,000, mutual funds
probably make the most sense. For those investing more, building a portfolio
of individual bonds may be preferred for the following reasons.
1. Maturity: Known versus
never
One of the great stabilizing
features of a bond is that it matures. Regardless of rate movements and
other factors influencing security prices, at a date certain in the future a
bond with $1,000 face amount will return to the investor $1,000. This is not
the case with mutual funds. Fund share prices vary, as bonds in mutual funds
are “marked to market” — meaning priced to where they would trade each day.
Portfolio managers, meanwhile, buy and sell bonds frequently, often
discarding securities well before maturity at whatever level is bid.
Simply modelled, if one buys a
$1,000 bond maturing in five years, aside from the interest earned one will
receive precisely $1,000 in five years. If one buys $1,000 worth of a mutual
fund that has an average maturity of five years, in five years one will own
mutual fund shares that can be more or less than $1,000 — depending on
market conditions, management, and external fund flows.
2. Adverse shareholder
behavior
This latter factor, external
flows into and out of mutual funds, can create multiple problems for
shareholders. The worst stems from a common behavior where people jump onto
bandwagons, such as the dotcom boom and bust a decade ago. Less extreme, but
damaging nonetheless, individuals shopping for funds most often look at
recent performance. When rates fall, bond funds will show good performance,
inducing trend-following investors to pour in money. When rates rise, bond
funds fall, causing many shareholders to liquidate their holdings.
Combining these two tendencies,
bond fund portfolio managers are forced to buy disproportionately when rates
are low and to sell existing holdings when rates are high. One could be an
expert economist and put money into a bond fund at exactly the right time
but still end up with below average returns because of errant mass behavior
forcing the fund manager’s hands.
3. Unintended gains and losses
Another issue that can arise
with funds is capital gains and losses. If one holds a bond to maturity,
there is no tax consequence. With funds, two different capital taxable
events can occur.
First, while holding fund
shares, the portfolio manager may engage in transactions rendering capital
gains and losses. The net amount of these events will add to or subtract
from the shareholder’s taxable capital gains. Second, when one sells fund
shares, unless the sale price is exactly the same as the purchase price, a
taxable event will have occurred. These effects are germane to municipal
funds as well. If one buys and holds a tax-exempt municipal bond to
maturity, there will be nothing to report to the IRS. If one buys municipal
bond mutual fund shares, taxable gains may very well be generated and
reported.
4. Management and fees
Fees and portfolio management
go hand in hand. One can pick a portfolio solo and not pay anything. If
choices are limited to treasuries, agencies, and FDIC insured CDs, much is
indeed saved. If one delves into the higher return corporate sector, unless
one can commit time to research, it is often wisest to get help.
The cost of such help varies
greatly. Mutual fund management fees vary from about two tenths of a percent
to well over one percent. Registered investment advisors who can build
custom portfolios of bonds will charge anywhere from half a percent on up.
Importantly, the value of such help varies as well. Last year the
Oppenheimer Core Bond Fund, a staple “stable” offering in many Section 529
plans fell 36 percent.
What to do
If you have money in cash
equivalent accounts earning next to nothing, except for amounts needed for
expenses over the next four to six months, start looking for alternatives.
Whether alone or in consultation with a professional, come up with an
appropriate asset allocation between stocks and bonds. Skipping stocks for
the purposes of this article, view bonds as that part of your portfolio that
seeks stable value but maximal income.
It’s important to never pay a
sales load of any kind, never pay a sales person to place your funds with a
manager, and never buy bonds in a brokerage wrap account. In fact, never
invest in a wrap account, period. Fees should be minimized, particularly
with bonds in the current environment where a one percent annual charge will
reduce expected income by 20 to 50 percent, depending on the chosen fixed
income arena.
If the allocated amount is
under $25,000, use online screens such as those at Morningstar or a broker
such as TD Ameritrade or Schwab to find no-load funds with low management
fees in the sector you feel most comfortable with in terms of risk and
return. Where available, read the reports, reviews, and ratings. Ignore all
ads.
If the allocated amount is over
$25,000, start looking online at actual bonds. The mentioned discount
brokers have excellent platforms. There are others. You can also contact an
advisor to manage the bonds. You can avoid the pitfalls mentioned above,
maintain full control of your risk exposure and end up with better returns.